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26

being altogether fallacious, as I then deemed it, that
it is quite indispensible to us all. Moreover, the
simple argument from the fulfillment of predictions,
does not properly involve any evaluation of
a ratio; and so to represent it is not only to
import into it a conception foreign to it, but
is to fail to recognize all the force of it.
The truth is that the theory of that essay
only applies strictly and without modification
to the very highest kind of induction.
Later, in 1892, in a paper entitled “The doctrine of necessity
examined,” in the second volume of the
Monist, I made a statement of the rationale
of induction which erred on the other side,
by recognizing only an inferior species

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