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G90

dissection will seem to give alternatives that are également possibles. It is only by basing the theory of probability upon this doctrine, and thus rendering probability without interest except to a student of human eccentricities, that it is possible to assign any mathematical probability to an inductive conclusion. Much might be added in refutation of Laplace's position.

In the first edition of his Logic, Mill presents arguments against Laplace's view; but in his third, without answering his former arguments, as far as I see, he abandons them, and thus assents to all that is necessary for calculating a necessary probability for the inductive conclusion, without

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