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So decide not to go by myself.
9:00 Watch "Tracey Ulman." Boring.
9:30 Watch Cross Creek.
About a writer + drinker.
Write what I know about.
Bob calls. Ric U in hospital with ARC.
Watch some good parts of Cross Creek over again.
12:30 Go to bed
Mon Oct 26 '87
7:45 Get up. Misc. Dow down 110.
Microsoft at 39.
Whoa is me.
Take a walk; cold wo/scarf. Turn back.
Maybe I dont need to worry about these prices. They're all fair prices.
Especially since I don't need the money in excess of $1M.
OR maybe I should buy tons of options and make a small killing.
Read WSJ. Comparisons to Oct '29 technically very similar.
From MS Options, it looks like puts are more expensive than calls.
9:45 Call for quote
MS 37 1/2
CALL MSQAH 7 3/4 (strike at 40)
PUT MSQAH 7 1/2 (strike at 40)
A call for the right to buy at 40 includes 2 1/2 excess over 37 1/2 so the premium is 10. A put to sell it at 40 has a premium of 5.
So calls are more expensive than puts.
Another way to look at this.
- To make money on a $40 call, the price must rise to 47 3/4, which is 10 points above where it is now, so thta's a premium of $10/sh or about 25% for 3 months.
- To make money on a $40 put, the price must decline to 32 1/2, so that I could buy it there + sell for $40. So that's a $5/sh premium. Or about 12% for 3 months.
10:15 Look at Mutual Fund Forecaster. They said in Oct issue stocks will be up 21%
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