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persist in this same method of research
and we shall gradually be brought
around to the truth. This gradual
process of rectification is
in great contrast to what takes
place with rudimentary induction
where the correction comes with
a bang. The strength of any argument
of the Second Order depends
upon how much the confirmation
of the prediction runs counter to what
our expectation would have been without
the hypothesis. It is entirely a question of
how much; and yet there is no measurable
quantity. For when such measure